Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 15:00
12.5038.2%
X3.6126.4%
22.7035.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brentford
WWLLDLLDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Brighton
LDDDWWLWDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.80
1.60
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
2.30
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.50
Against
5.00
10.30
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.60
Goals conceded
2.00
2.80
Total goals
3.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.20goals per match
Brighton conceded2.00
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.80goals per match
Brentford conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.00
10.30
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.20
Match total
4.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

7.30N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
16.40
Match total
23.20

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.30
On target
5.30
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches176
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.2%41.5%+3.3 pp
Draw26.4%23.3%-3.2 pp
Away35.4%35.2%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.538.1%
BTTS59.1%

Historical average

1.581.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.9%
0-18.0%
3-27.4%
2-16.8%
1-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.165.14
Average total10.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=176.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.560.2%
Over 10.547.2%
Over 11.538.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.7%17.5%–45.8% CI
Draw FT35.1%21.8%–51.2% CI
Away FT35.1%21.8%–51.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals29.7%
3+ goals18.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.5%
Away51.4%