Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-16 · 19:30
11.7155.8%
X3.9624.1%
24.7520.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
LDWWWLLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Crystal Palace
DWWDWWWWDL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.70
1.60
Conceded
0.90
90%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.10
2.40
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.50
Against
5.40
10.50
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded
0.90
4.10
Total goals
2.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

2.50goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded0.90
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.70goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.00
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.40
10.50
Match total
8.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.30
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
23.00
Match total
22.60

Shots

17.20N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.60
On target
4.30
15%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches438
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.8%60.3%+4.5 pp
Draw24.1%22.8%-1.3 pp
Away20.1%16.9%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.535.4%
BTTS59.4%

Historical average

2.021.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.6%
1-19.8%
2-09.8%
1-09.1%
3-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.083.99
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=438.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches105
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.5%41.1%–59.9% CI
Draw FT34.3%25.9%–43.8% CI
Away FT15.2%9.6%–23.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.72

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals27.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.5%
Away38.1%