Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-13 · 16:30
11.6557.4%
X4.2122.5%
24.7320.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
WLDWWWLLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Man United
DLWLDWLDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.80
2.10
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.90
Against
6.40
10.60
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
3.70
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

2.20goals per match
Man United conceded1.20
Matchup

Man United attack

1.10goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.40
10.60
Match total
11.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.90
Match total
3.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
24.80
Match total
19.50

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.40
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches205
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.4%63.4%+6.0 pp
Draw22.5%21.0%-1.5 pp
Away20.0%15.6%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS61.0%

Historical average

2.201.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.7%
2-011.7%
3-18.8%
1-17.8%
2-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.914.04
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=205.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.1%39.1%–73.5% CI
Draw FT28.6%15.3%–47.1% CI
Away FT14.3%5.7%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.79

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals53.6%
3+ goals32.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away28.6%