Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-13 · 14:00
11.2575.8%
X6.5714.4%
29.709.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
DWWLDWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Ipswich
WLWLDLDLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.50
Against
7.80
8.90
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

2.00goals per match
Ipswich conceded1.60
Matchup

Ipswich attack

1.20goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
7.80
8.90
Match total
11.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.50
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.20
Match total
22.30

Shots

18.90N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
6.90
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches144
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.8%78.5%+2.7 pp
Draw14.4%14.6%+0.2 pp
Away9.8%6.9%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.542.4%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

2.500.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-011.1%
3-010.4%
2-110.4%
2-09.7%
3-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.452.99
Average total10.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=144.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.535.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%43.6%–74.4% CI
Draw FT25.7%14.2%–42.1% CI
Away FT14.3%6.3%–29.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.6%
2+ goals54.3%
3+ goals25.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.1%
Away42.9%