Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 17:30
11.6159.2%
X4.1622.9%
25.3517.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WWDWWDWLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Brentford
DLLDWWWWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.70
0.60
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
1.90
Against
6.10
9.00
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.70
0.60
Goals conceded
0.90
2.40
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.80goals per match
Brentford conceded0.90
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.70goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
1.90
Corners against
6.10
9.00
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.80
Match total
2.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
19.70
Match total
20.00

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
5.00
On target
4.50
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches348
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.2%60.3%+1.1 pp
Draw22.9%23.3%+0.3 pp
Away17.8%16.4%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.0%
BTTS55.2%

Historical average

1.910.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
2-012.1%
1-010.9%
2-110.3%
3-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.323.84
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=348.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.0%42.4%–63.4% CI
Draw FT31.3%22.4%–41.9% CI
Away FT15.7%9.4%–25.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals51.8%
3+ goals22.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.5%
Away47.0%