Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 15:00
11.2775.1%
X5.8916.2%
210.988.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brighton
WDLDDLWWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Leicester
LLLLLWLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.50
1.20
Conceded
2.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.70
1.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.90
Against
6.30
9.00
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.50
1.20
Goals conceded
2.60
2.40
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brighton attack
1.20goals per matchLeicester conceded2.60Matchup
Leicester attack
0.50goals per matchBrighton conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.30
9.00
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.30
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
25.00
Match total
20.30
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
6.10N=10
4.30
On target
2.10
8%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches95
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.1%83.2%+8.0 pp
Draw16.2%8.4%-7.8 pp
Away8.7%8.4%-0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.535.8%
BTTS50.5%
Historical average
2.37–0.71
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.8%
3-113.7%
1-012.6%
2-011.6%
3-011.6%
Comparable corner averages
7.24–3.34
Average total10.58
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=95.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.578.9%
Over 9.564.2%
Over 10.549.5%
Over 11.535.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%45.4%–82.8% CI
Draw FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI
Away FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.90
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.5%
2+ goals47.6%
3+ goals33.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.0%
Away42.9%