Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 15:00
11.2775.1%
X5.8916.2%
210.988.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
WDLDDLWWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Leicester
LLLLLWLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.50
1.20
Conceded
2.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.70
1.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.90
Against
6.30
9.00
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.50
1.20
Goals conceded
2.60
2.40
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.20goals per match
Leicester conceded2.60
Matchup

Leicester attack

0.50goals per match
Brighton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.30
9.00
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.30
Match total
2.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
25.00
Match total
20.30

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
6.10N=10
4.30
On target
2.10
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches95
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.1%83.2%+8.0 pp
Draw16.2%8.4%-7.8 pp
Away8.7%8.4%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.535.8%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

2.370.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.8%
3-113.7%
1-012.6%
2-011.6%
3-011.6%

Comparable corner averages

7.243.34
Average total10.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=95.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.9%
Over 9.564.2%
Over 10.549.5%
Over 11.535.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%45.4%–82.8% CI
Draw FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI
Away FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.5%
2+ goals47.6%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.0%
Away42.9%