Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 12:30
11.5063.6%
X4.7020.3%
25.9516.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
LWLDWWWLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Crystal Palace
DDWWDWWWWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.70
1.30
Conceded
0.60
70%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.10
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.10
Against
5.60
9.60
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded
0.60
3.30
Total goals
2.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.00goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded0.60
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.70goals per match
Man City conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.60
9.60
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.00
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

7.90N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
18.90
Match total
21.60

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.30
On target
4.70
13%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches131
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.6%64.9%+1.2 pp
Draw20.3%17.6%-2.8 pp
Away16.0%17.6%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.567.2%
Over 3.541.2%
BTTS57.3%

Historical average

2.251.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.7%
3-17.6%
2-07.6%
1-17.6%
4-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.384.20
Average total10.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=131.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.0%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.6%35.8%–70.5% CI
Draw FT32.1%17.9%–50.7% CI
Away FT14.3%5.7%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.9%
Away46.4%