Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-07 · 20:00
16.4014.9%
X4.4421.5%
21.5063.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
LWDLLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Newcastle
WDLWWWWLLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.80
2.30
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
2.00
1.80
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.00
Against
4.50
9.30
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.80
2.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

0.60goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.40
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.80goals per match
Leicester conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
1.10
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.50
9.30
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.20
Match total
2.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
19.00
Match total
20.00

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.50
On target
3.70
6%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches77
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.9%16.9%+2.0 pp
Draw21.5%16.9%-4.6 pp
Away63.6%66.2%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.567.5%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS62.3%

Historical average

1.082.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.3%
0-110.4%
1-110.4%
0-39.1%
2-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.656.17
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=77.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT71.4%45.4%–88.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.7%
Away78.6%