Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 16:30
13.3328.7%
X3.6126.5%
22.1344.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
WWLLLWLLWD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Man City
LLDLWDWLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.60
1.70
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.50
Against
4.60
8.50
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded
1.60
3.40
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Man United attack

1.70goals per match
Man City conceded1.60
Matchup

Man City attack

1.60goals per match
Man United conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.60
8.50
Match total
8.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.70
Match total
3.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
8.10N=10
21.50
Match total
16.60

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
4.60
On target
5.20
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches216
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.7%28.7%+0.0 pp
Draw26.5%21.3%-5.2 pp
Away44.8%50.0%+5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.538.0%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

1.301.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-19.3%
0-18.8%
1-28.3%
1-06.5%
0-26.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.545.41
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=216.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.4%13.6%–34.7% CI
Draw FT34.5%23.6%–47.3% CI
Away FT43.1%31.2%–55.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.3%
2+ goals51.7%
3+ goals17.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.4%
Away67.2%