Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 14:00
11.3968.7%
X5.3217.9%
27.1213.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tottenham
LDLLDLLWLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Southampton
LDLDLLLWLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
2.20
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.50
1.80
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
4.80N=10
6.10
Against
5.40
13.30
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
2.20
Goals conceded
2.00
3.70
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.50goals per match
Southampton conceded2.00
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.80goals per match
Tottenham conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.40
13.30
Match total
10.20
100%10/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.00
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
23.80
Match total
25.30

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.80
On target
2.50
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.7%70.6%+1.9 pp
Draw17.9%17.6%-0.3 pp
Away13.4%11.8%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.545.1%
BTTS62.7%

Historical average

2.100.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-121.6%
2-113.7%
1-011.8%
1-17.8%
2-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.593.67
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.552.9%
Over 11.543.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away35.7%