Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 14:00
14.2422.6%
X3.7025.9%
21.8651.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fulham
LWDDDDLWLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Liverpool
WDWWDWWDDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.80
1.40
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.90
1.80
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
7.00N=10
4.40
Against
3.80
9.60
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
4.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.30goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.30
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.80goals per match
Fulham conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
7.00N=10
4.40
Corners against
3.80
9.60
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.20
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
20.90
Match total
19.60

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
19.90N=10
3.90
On target
7.40
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches249
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.6%21.7%-0.9 pp
Draw25.9%24.1%-1.8 pp
Away51.5%54.2%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS61.4%

Historical average

1.081.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-212.4%
0-19.6%
2-18.4%
1-38.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.555.43
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=249.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.9%9.7%–27.8% CI
Draw FT40.0%29.0%–52.1% CI
Away FT43.1%31.8%–55.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals55.4%
3+ goals18.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.6%
Away66.2%