Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 14:00
13.2029.9%
X3.7325.6%
22.1544.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brentford
WWWLLDLLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Chelsea
WWWDLDLLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
1.80
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
6.40N=10
5.30
Against
3.50
10.40
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded
1.70
3.30
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.50goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.70
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.40goals per match
Brentford conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
5.30
Corners against
3.50
10.40
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.40
Match total
4.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

6.90N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
16.40
Match total
23.80

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
4.70
On target
5.20
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches116
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.9%28.4%-1.4 pp
Draw25.6%29.3%+3.7 pp
Away44.5%42.2%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.594.0%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.544.0%
BTTS75.9%

Historical average

1.561.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
2-210.3%
2-19.5%
1-29.5%
1-38.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.065.64
Average total10.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=116.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.7%
Over 9.561.2%
Over 10.553.4%
Over 11.540.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.2%14.9%–49.2% CI
Draw FT29.2%14.9%–49.2% CI
Away FT41.7%24.5%–61.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal95.8%
2+ goals79.2%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.8%
Away66.7%