Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 17:30
11.9948.0%
X3.6326.3%
23.7225.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
DWWWDWDDDW
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Nott'm Forest
LLWWWWLLLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.80
1.20
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
2.00
1.50
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

8.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.10
Against
6.40
11.70
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded
2.10
3.00
Total goals
3.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.80goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded2.10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.80goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.40
11.70
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.80
Match total
4.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
23.70
Match total
20.30

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
5.50
On target
3.90
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches607
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.0%46.1%-1.9 pp
Draw26.3%28.2%+1.9 pp
Away25.7%25.7%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.532.5%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

1.681.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
2-110.2%
1-08.2%
1-28.1%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.724.28
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=607.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches157
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.0%28.0%–42.8% CI
Draw FT43.9%36.4%–51.8% CI
Away FT21.0%15.4%–28.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.7%
2+ goals44.6%
3+ goals21.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.3%
Away44.6%