Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 15:00
12.4339.2%
X3.4627.6%
22.8733.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
LDDLWDLLWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Brighton
WLDDDWWLWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.90
1.70
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
2.40
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
6.20
Against
5.50
11.20
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.90
1.70
Goals conceded
1.90
3.10
Total goals
3.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.40goals per match
Brighton conceded1.90
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.90goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.50
11.20
Match total
10.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
21.70
Match total
23.00

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.50
On target
5.20
9%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches381
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.2%39.9%+0.7 pp
Draw27.6%29.1%+1.6 pp
Away33.2%31.0%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.531.2%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

1.481.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
2-19.4%
2-08.4%
1-28.4%
1-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.404.66
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=381.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches106
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%28.2%–46.3% CI
Draw FT34.9%26.5%–44.4% CI
Away FT28.3%20.6%–37.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.4%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals19.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.7%
Away49.1%