Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 12:30
15.1518.6%
X3.4427.8%
21.7853.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
DWDLLWWDDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Arsenal
DWDWWDWWDD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
2.00
1.00
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
6.20N=10
5.30
Against
2.40
10.40
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
2.60
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.60goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.80
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.00goals per match
Everton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
1.00
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
5.30
Corners against
2.40
10.40
Match total
8.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.00
Match total
3.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
23.60
Match total
22.30

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.70
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.6%17.9%-0.7 pp
Draw27.8%28.6%+0.8 pp
Away53.7%53.6%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.539.3%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

0.891.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-314.3%
1-110.7%
0-110.7%
1-010.7%
1-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.145.46
Average total9.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Draw FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI
Away FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away50.0%