Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-03 · 20:00
11.6458.0%
X4.5021.1%
24.5720.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WDWWLDWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Tottenham
LWLWLLLWWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
2.00
1.70
2H goals
0.90
100%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.30
Against
5.90
9.00
Total
11.50
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

2.10goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.10
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.80goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.90
9.00
Match total
11.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.40
Match total
3.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
23.80
Match total
24.70

Shots

19.50N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
7.10
On target
4.70
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.0%50.0%-8.0 pp
Draw21.1%19.2%-1.9 pp
Away20.8%30.8%+9.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.580.8%
Over 3.553.8%
BTTS65.4%

Historical average

2.381.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.5%
2-211.5%
2-17.7%
3-27.7%
1-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.544.46
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.1%
Over 9.565.4%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away72.7%