Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-03 · 20:00
11.6458.0%
X4.5021.1%
24.5720.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Chelsea
WDWWLDWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Tottenham
LWLWLLLWWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.30
1H goals
2.00
1.70
2H goals
0.90
100%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.30
Against
5.90
9.00
Total
11.50
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Chelsea attack
2.10goals per matchTottenham conceded1.10Matchup
Tottenham attack
1.80goals per matchChelsea conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.90
9.00
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.40
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
23.80
Match total
24.70
Shots
19.50N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
7.10
On target
4.70
11%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.0%50.0%-8.0 pp
Draw21.1%19.2%-1.9 pp
Away20.8%30.8%+9.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.580.8%
Over 3.553.8%
BTTS65.4%
Historical average
2.38–1.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-211.5%
2-211.5%
2-17.7%
3-27.7%
1-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.54–4.46
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.1%
Over 9.565.4%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.530.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.5%
Away72.7%