Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-02 · 19:45
15.5017.3%
X4.0123.8%
21.6258.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
WLLLLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM
Crystal Palace
LDDWWDWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.60
3.10
Conceded
0.60
80%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.60
1.90
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.30
Against
6.00
8.70
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.60
3.10
Goals conceded
0.60
3.80
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.70goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded0.60
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.60goals per match
Southampton conceded3.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
1.60
1H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.10
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.00
8.70
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.00
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.40
Match total
21.40

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.30
On target
5.10
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches123
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.3%12.2%-5.1 pp
Draw23.8%22.0%-1.8 pp
Away58.9%65.9%+7.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.536.6%
BTTS57.7%

Historical average

0.891.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-118.7%
1-111.4%
1-211.4%
1-38.9%
0-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.836.20
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=123.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.8%5.6%–26.7% CI
Draw FT23.1%12.6%–38.3% CI
Away FT64.1%48.4%–77.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.7%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away79.5%