Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-02 · 19:45
11.7355.2%
X4.3122.1%
24.2122.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newcastle
LWLDWWWLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Brentford
LDLLDWWWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.80
Against
6.80
11.00
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
0.90
3.50
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newcastle attack
2.00goals per matchBrentford conceded0.90Matchup
Brentford attack
1.70goals per matchNewcastle conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.80
11.00
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.00N=10
5.10
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
24.40
Match total
18.90
Shots
16.80N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.60
On target
4.40
12%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.2%49.3%-5.8 pp
Draw22.1%29.3%+7.2 pp
Away22.7%21.3%-1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.541.3%
BTTS69.3%
Historical average
1.97–1.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.3%
2-110.7%
1-28.0%
1-08.0%
2-26.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.64–4.36
Average total11.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.3%
Over 9.561.3%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.536.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.58
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away50.0%