Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-02 · 19:45
11.7355.2%
X4.3122.1%
24.2122.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
LWLDWWWLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Brentford
LDLLDWWWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.80
Against
6.80
11.00
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
0.90
3.50
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

2.00goals per match
Brentford conceded0.90
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.70goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.80
11.00
Match total
10.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.00N=10
5.10
Match total
2.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
24.40
Match total
18.90

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.60
On target
4.40
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.2%49.3%-5.8 pp
Draw22.1%29.3%+7.2 pp
Away22.7%21.3%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.541.3%
BTTS69.3%

Historical average

1.971.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
2-110.7%
1-28.0%
1-08.0%
2-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.644.36
Average total11.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.3%
Over 9.561.3%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.536.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away50.0%