Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-02 · 19:45
11.2079.7%
X7.6112.6%
212.407.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Man City
WLWLDWWWLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Leicester
DLLLLLWLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.60
1.30
Conceded
2.50
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.20
Against
6.20
10.40
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.60
1.30
Goals conceded
2.50
3.20
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Man City attack
1.90goals per matchLeicester conceded2.50Matchup
Leicester attack
0.60goals per matchMan City conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.20
10.40
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.90
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.70N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
18.80
Match total
20.50
Shots
15.90N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
5.60
On target
2.70
12%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches107
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.7%79.4%-0.3 pp
Draw12.6%10.3%-2.3 pp
Away7.7%10.3%+2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.542.1%
BTTS46.7%
Historical average
2.67–0.71
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-013.1%
2-011.2%
2-110.3%
1-09.3%
3-16.5%
Comparable corner averages
7.23–2.79
Average total10.02
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=107.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.534.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%40.7%–76.6% CI
Draw FT16.0%6.4%–34.7% CI
Away FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.88
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals28.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away40.0%