Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-02 · 19:45
11.2079.7%
X7.6112.6%
212.407.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WLWLDWWWLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Leicester
DLLLLLWLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.60
1.30
Conceded
2.50
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.20
Against
6.20
10.40
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.60
1.30
Goals conceded
2.50
3.20
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Man City attack

1.90goals per match
Leicester conceded2.50
Matchup

Leicester attack

0.60goals per match
Man City conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.20
10.40
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.90
Match total
2.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

7.70N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
18.80
Match total
20.50

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
5.60
On target
2.70
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches107
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.7%79.4%-0.3 pp
Draw12.6%10.3%-2.3 pp
Away7.7%10.3%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.542.1%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

2.670.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-013.1%
2-011.2%
2-110.3%
1-09.3%
3-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.232.79
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=107.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%40.7%–76.6% CI
Draw FT16.0%6.4%–34.7% CI
Away FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.88

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals28.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away40.0%