Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-01 · 19:45
11.4864.8%
X4.2022.8%
27.7312.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
DWWDWWDWLW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Fulham
DWDDWLWWWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.70
0.70
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.90
50%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
1.80
Against
3.90
8.50
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.80goals per match
Fulham conceded1.20
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.70goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
1.80
Corners against
3.90
8.50
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.90
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
21.30
Match total
20.70

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
4.90
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches72
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.8%65.3%+0.5 pp
Draw22.8%27.8%+5.0 pp
Away12.4%6.9%-5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS45.8%

Historical average

1.820.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.8%
2-013.9%
1-112.5%
0-09.7%
2-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.143.01
Average total9.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=72.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.543.1%
Over 10.530.6%
Over 11.518.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.9%40.8%–77.8% CI
Draw FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Away FT4.3%0.8%–21.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals21.7%
3+ goals4.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.2%
Away8.7%