Premier League · 2024/25
2025-04-01 · 19:45
11.4864.8%
X4.2022.8%
27.7312.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Arsenal
DWWDWWDWLW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Fulham
DWDDWLWWWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.70
0.70
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.90
50%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
1.80
Against
3.90
8.50
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Arsenal attack
1.80goals per matchFulham conceded1.20Matchup
Fulham attack
1.70goals per matchArsenal conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
1.80
Corners against
3.90
8.50
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.90
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
21.30
Match total
20.70
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
4.90
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches72
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.8%65.3%+0.5 pp
Draw22.8%27.8%+5.0 pp
Away12.4%6.9%-5.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS45.8%
Historical average
1.82–0.65
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-020.8%
2-013.9%
1-112.5%
0-09.7%
2-16.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.14–3.01
Average total9.15
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=72.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.543.1%
Over 10.530.6%
Over 11.518.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.9%40.8%–77.8% CI
Draw FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Away FT4.3%0.8%–21.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals21.7%
3+ goals4.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.2%
Away8.7%