Premier League · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 19:00
14.2122.7%
X3.7625.4%
21.8451.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
LLWDLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Man United
DLDLWLDWLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.90
2.30
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.60
1.80
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.30
Against
6.70
9.60
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.90
2.30
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

0.70goals per match
Man United conceded1.30
Matchup

Man United attack

0.90goals per match
Leicester conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.10
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.70
9.60
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.70
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
20.30
Match total
20.20

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.30
On target
3.60
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches225
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.7%21.8%-0.9 pp
Draw25.4%22.7%-2.7 pp
Away51.9%55.6%+3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS60.4%

Historical average

1.081.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
1-212.0%
0-19.3%
1-38.0%
2-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.405.42
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=225.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches61
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.4%9.2%–27.6% CI
Draw FT36.1%25.2%–48.6% CI
Away FT47.5%35.5%–59.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.2%
2+ goals59.0%
3+ goals21.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.9%
Away70.5%