Premier League · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 13:30
11.8152.9%
X3.7425.6%
24.4421.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WDWWDWWDWL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Chelsea
DWWWDLDLLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.50
0.80
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
6.80N=10
1.50
Against
3.40
9.00
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.00goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.70
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.50goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
1.50
Corners against
3.40
9.00
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.60
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
20.90
Match total
24.80

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
5.10
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches504
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.9%58.5%+5.7 pp
Draw25.6%24.6%-1.0 pp
Away21.6%16.9%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

1.730.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.9%
2-113.1%
1-111.1%
2-011.1%
0-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.994.06
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=504.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches149
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.6%37.8%–53.6% CI
Draw FT37.6%30.2%–45.6% CI
Away FT16.8%11.6%–23.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals41.6%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.1%
Away39.6%