Premier League · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 13:30
11.8152.9%
X3.7425.6%
24.4421.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Arsenal
WDWWDWWDWL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Chelsea
DWWWDLDLLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.50
0.80
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.50N=10
For
6.80N=10
1.50
Against
3.40
9.00
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Arsenal attack
2.00goals per matchChelsea conceded1.70Matchup
Chelsea attack
1.50goals per matchArsenal conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
1.50
Corners against
3.40
9.00
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.60
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
20.90
Match total
24.80
Shots
16.10N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
5.10
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches504
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.9%58.5%+5.7 pp
Draw25.6%24.6%-1.0 pp
Away21.6%16.9%-4.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS51.0%
Historical average
1.73–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.9%
2-113.1%
1-111.1%
2-011.1%
0-06.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.99–4.06
Average total10.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=504.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.532.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches149
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.6%37.8%–53.6% CI
Draw FT37.6%30.2%–45.6% CI
Away FT16.8%11.6%–23.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals41.6%
3+ goals14.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.1%
Away39.6%