Premier League · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 17:30
11.7654.4%
X4.1623.0%
24.2522.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
WWLWDDWWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Brentford
LLDLLDWWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
0.70
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.30
Against
7.30
11.30
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.00
2.00
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.30goals per match
Brentford conceded1.00
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.60goals per match
Bournemouth conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.30
Corners against
7.30
11.30
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.90
Match total
2.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
22.80
Match total
18.80

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
6.00
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches77
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.4%57.1%+2.7 pp
Draw23.0%19.5%-3.5 pp
Away22.5%23.4%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.570.1%
Over 3.540.3%
BTTS63.6%

Historical average

2.081.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.0%
1-19.1%
1-27.8%
3-07.8%
2-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.404.47
Average total10.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=77.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.559.7%
Over 10.546.8%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.88

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals62.5%
3+ goals31.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.8%
Away62.5%