Premier League · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 15:00
13.6326.3%
X3.5127.2%
22.0646.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
LWLLLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM
Wolves
DWLLWDLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.50
3.20
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.70
2.00
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.80
Against
5.80
9.70
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
3.20
Goals conceded
1.90
4.00
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.80goals per match
Wolves conceded1.90
Matchup

Wolves attack

1.50goals per match
Southampton conceded3.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
1.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.80
1.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.80
Corners against
5.80
9.70
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.80
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
21.90
Match total
24.60

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.70
On target
4.60
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches248
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.3%21.4%-5.0 pp
Draw27.2%32.3%+5.0 pp
Away46.4%46.4%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

1.081.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
0-110.9%
1-29.7%
0-09.7%
2-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.535.58
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=248.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches82
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.5%12.4%–29.4% CI
Draw FT43.9%33.7%–54.7% CI
Away FT36.6%27.0%–47.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.7%
2+ goals46.3%
3+ goals25.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.6%
Away57.3%