Premier League · 2024/25
2025-03-09 · 16:30
15.4117.7%
X3.5826.7%
21.7255.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
DWWLLLWLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Arsenal
LDWDWWDWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.90
1.70
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.90N=10
3.40
Against
2.60
8.60
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.90
1.70
Goals conceded
0.80
3.40
Total goals
2.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Man United attack

1.70goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.80
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.90goals per match
Man United conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
3.40
Corners against
2.60
8.60
Match total
8.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.40
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
22.90
Match total
23.80

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.40
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.7%20.7%+3.1 pp
Draw26.7%30.5%+3.8 pp
Away55.6%48.8%-6.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS47.6%

Historical average

0.891.49

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-215.9%
1-113.4%
0-112.2%
1-28.5%
2-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.575.50
Average total9.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.1%
Over 9.542.7%
Over 10.532.9%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.2%7.6%–34.5% CI
Draw FT37.9%22.7%–56.0% CI
Away FT44.8%28.4%–62.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.3%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals10.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.9%
Away65.5%