Premier League · 2024/25
2025-03-09 · 14:00
11.2079.8%
X7.6712.5%
212.347.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
DWDWWLDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Leicester
WDLLLLLWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
2.60
80%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.70
1.80
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.40
Against
6.00
9.00
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
2.60
3.10
Total goals
3.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

2.10goals per match
Leicester conceded2.60
Matchup

Leicester attack

0.90goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.00
9.00
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.10
Match total
3.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
23.60
Match total
20.00

Shots

19.70N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
7.20
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches79
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.8%82.3%+2.5 pp
Draw12.5%12.7%+0.2 pp
Away7.8%5.1%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.538.0%
BTTS43.0%

Historical average

2.560.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-016.5%
2-113.9%
4-011.4%
1-010.1%
3-010.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.493.18
Average total10.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=79.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.2%
Over 9.560.8%
Over 10.550.6%
Over 11.536.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.6%
Away30.8%