Primeira Liga · 2026/27
2026-09-05 · 20:30
11.2077.6%
X6.3514.7%
211.967.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetSp Lisbon: 2/10 · Nacional: 2/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2026/27 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Lisbon
WW
2W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Nacional
DL
0W 1D 1L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
3.00
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.50
100%
Over 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
By half
2.00
1H goals
2.50
2.50
2H goals
0.00
100%
Goal in 2H
0%
Corners
4.00N=2
For
3.50N=2
2.50
Against
4.00
6.50
Total
7.50
Team history
Goals
N=2 N=2
3.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
4.50
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
3.00goals per matchNacional conceded1.50Matchup
Nacional attack
1.00goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=2 N=2
2.00
1H goals scored
1.00
0.00
1H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.00
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=2 N=2
4.00N=2
Corners for
3.50N=2
2.50
Corners against
4.00
6.50
Match total
7.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=2
For
1.50N=2
6.00
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=2
Committed
11.00N=2
31.50
Match total
27.50
Shots
10.00N=2
Shots
8.50N=2
5.00
On target
2.00
30%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches142
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.6%78.2%+0.6 pp
Draw14.7%16.2%+1.5 pp
Away7.8%5.6%-2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.570.4%
Over 3.543.7%
BTTS52.8%
Historical average
2.74–0.77
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-014.1%
2-111.3%
1-19.9%
3-18.5%
2-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
7.27–2.99
Average total10.27
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=142.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.531.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.6%37.3%–72.4% CI
Draw FT33.3%18.6%–52.2% CI
Away FT11.1%3.9%–28.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.70
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals25.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.5%
Away40.7%