Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 16:00
11.1087.4%
X11.728.2%
221.814.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Man City
WWWDWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
West Ham
LWDLLWLWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
1.40
0.60
Conceded
2.80
50%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
2.00
2.00
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
9.20N=10
For
4.00N=10
1.70
Against
5.00
10.90
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded
2.80
3.20
Total goals
4.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Man City attack
2.60goals per matchWest Ham conceded2.80Matchup
West Ham attack
1.40goals per matchMan City conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.20N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
1.70
Corners against
5.00
10.90
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.90
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
6.40N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
17.80
Match total
18.90
Shots
22.40N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
7.20
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home87.4%86.2%-1.2 pp
Draw8.2%6.9%-1.3 pp
Away4.4%6.9%+2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.579.3%
Over 3.551.7%
BTTS48.3%
Historical average
3.38–0.62
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-013.8%
3-110.3%
2-110.3%
4-06.9%
1-16.9%
Comparable corner averages
8.83–2.38
Average total11.21
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.582.8%
Over 9.569.0%
Over 10.555.2%
Over 11.541.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
2.82
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals45.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home90.9%
Away27.3%