Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 16:00
11.1087.4%
X11.728.2%
221.814.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WWWDWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
West Ham
LWDLLWLWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.40
0.60
Conceded
2.80
50%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
2.00
2.00
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

9.20N=10
For
4.00N=10
1.70
Against
5.00
10.90
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded
2.80
3.20
Total goals
4.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.60goals per match
West Ham conceded2.80
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.40goals per match
Man City conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.20N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
1.70
Corners against
5.00
10.90
Match total
9.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.90
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

6.40N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
17.80
Match total
18.90

Shots

22.40N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
7.20
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home87.4%86.2%-1.2 pp
Draw8.2%6.9%-1.3 pp
Away4.4%6.9%+2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.579.3%
Over 3.551.7%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

3.380.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-013.8%
3-110.3%
2-110.3%
4-06.9%
1-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

8.832.38
Average total11.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.582.8%
Over 9.569.0%
Over 10.555.2%
Over 11.541.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals45.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.9%
Away27.3%