Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 16:00
12.9232.8%
X3.9524.2%
22.2343.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
WLWLLLDWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Fulham
LLLDWLDLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
1.90
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
6.80N=10
5.10
Against
5.20
12.50
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.90
Goals conceded
1.80
3.50
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.60goals per match
Fulham conceded1.80
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.10goals per match
Luton conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.20
12.50
Match total
12.00
100%10/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.70
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
24.80
Match total
18.00

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
15.80N=10
5.40
On target
5.40
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.8%24.0%-8.8 pp
Draw24.2%32.0%+7.8 pp
Away43.0%44.0%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.596.0%
Over 2.576.0%
Over 3.564.0%
BTTS88.0%

Historical average

1.762.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-216.0%
1-112.0%
1-312.0%
2-18.0%
1-48.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.125.52
Average total10.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.572.0%
Over 10.548.0%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away80.0%