Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 16:00
11.1682.4%
X8.7111.0%
214.556.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
DWWWWDWWLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Wolves
LWDWWLLDDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
2.00
2.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
2.90
Against
7.30
11.70
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
2.00
3.80
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.60goals per match
Wolves conceded2.00
Matchup

Wolves attack

1.40goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.80N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
2.90
Corners against
7.30
11.70
Match total
10.20
100%10/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.00
Match total
3.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
24.50
Match total
23.30

Shots

25.30N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
9.60
On target
3.80
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home82.4%69.2%-13.2 pp
Draw11.0%30.8%+19.8 pp
Away6.6%0.0%-6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.553.8%
BTTS76.9%

Historical average

3.231.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-130.8%
6-115.4%
4-07.7%
2-07.7%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.623.00
Average total10.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.9%
Over 9.569.2%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.538.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT78.6%52.4%–92.4% CI
Draw FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.79

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals78.6%
3+ goals57.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home92.9%
Away57.1%