Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 16:00
11.8751.4%
X4.2822.4%
23.6726.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
DWWLWDLWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Aston Villa
WLDWWWDLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.80
1.40
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.60
Against
4.90
9.70
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
3.90
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

2.50goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.30
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.80goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.90
9.70
Match total
10.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.10
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
22.50
Match total
21.90

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
5.50
On target
4.60
17%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.4%50.0%-1.4 pp
Draw22.4%10.0%-12.4 pp
Away26.2%40.0%+13.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS70.0%

Historical average

2.101.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-120.0%
1-220.0%
1-110.0%
2-510.0%
2-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.304.20
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.540.0%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away63.6%