Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 16:00
11.4566.0%
X5.3218.0%
25.9916.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WWWLWDWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Bournemouth
WLDLDWLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.10
1H goals
0.90
2.00
2H goals
2.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.80
Against
5.20
11.50
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.90
4.10
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

2.90goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.90
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.30goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.20
11.50
Match total
11.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.10
Match total
4.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
23.60
Match total
24.30

Shots

18.40N=10
Shots
14.80N=10
7.90
On target
4.40
16%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.0%70.0%+4.0 pp
Draw18.0%20.0%+2.0 pp
Away16.0%10.0%-6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

2.601.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-230.0%
3-020.0%
0-210.0%
1-010.0%
1-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.003.40
Average total9.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.510.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away36.4%