Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 16:00
12.9033.1%
X3.7425.6%
22.3241.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
LLDDLLWDDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Nott'm Forest
DWLDLLDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.40
2.10
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.90
1.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.60N=10
6.30
Against
7.30
11.00
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.40
2.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.80goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded1.80
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.40goals per match
Burnley conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
1.20
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
6.30
Corners against
7.30
11.00
Match total
10.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.30
Match total
4.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
20.60
Match total
23.70

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
3.90
On target
4.30
6%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.1%26.8%-6.3 pp
Draw25.6%39.4%+13.8 pp
Away41.3%33.8%-7.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.539.4%
BTTS67.6%

Historical average

1.421.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-122.5%
2-29.9%
2-07.0%
0-25.6%
3-15.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.964.76
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Away FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals75.0%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away68.8%