Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 16:00
12.1744.2%
X4.1123.3%
22.9532.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
DWDWDWLLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Man United
LLWWWLDLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
1.40
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.70
Against
8.40
10.40
Total
12.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.40
Goals conceded
2.30
2.70
Total goals
3.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.30goals per match
Man United conceded2.30
Matchup

Man United attack

1.60goals per match
Brighton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.70
Corners against
8.40
10.40
Match total
12.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.30
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
22.30
Match total
21.70

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
5.50
On target
4.50
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.2%64.7%+20.5 pp
Draw23.3%11.8%-11.6 pp
Away32.5%23.5%-9.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS64.7%

Historical average

1.821.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-117.6%
2-117.6%
2-011.8%
1-211.8%
1-111.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.764.06
Average total10.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.5%25.6%–63.2% CI
Draw FT21.7%9.7%–41.9% CI
Away FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals21.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.2%
Away43.5%