Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 16:00
12.9432.6%
X3.9624.2%
22.2243.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brentford
LLWLLDDDWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Newcastle
LLWWLLWLWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.80
1.80
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
2.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
6.40
Against
6.80
11.90
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.80
Goals conceded
2.10
3.00
Total goals
3.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.20goals per match
Newcastle conceded2.10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.80goals per match
Brentford conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
6.40
Corners against
6.80
11.90
Match total
11.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.60
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

7.70N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
18.50
Match total
21.50

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.10
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.6%30.0%-2.6 pp
Draw24.2%20.0%-4.2 pp
Away43.2%50.0%+6.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.5100.0%
Over 3.590.0%
BTTS90.0%

Historical average

2.302.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-220.0%
1-320.0%
2-320.0%
4-010.0%
2-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.604.30
Average total10.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Draw FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals70.6%
3+ goals29.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.5%
Away76.5%