Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 16:00
11.1781.9%
X8.0411.9%
215.376.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WLWWWWWLWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Everton
LLDLDLLDLD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
0.50
0.70
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.30N=10
2.90
Against
7.60
9.30
Total
12.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.50
0.70
Goals conceded
2.00
3.30
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.60goals per match
Everton conceded2.00
Matchup

Everton attack

0.50goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
2.90
Corners against
7.60
9.30
Match total
12.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.60
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
20.80
Match total
23.00

Shots

21.00N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
7.10
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home81.9%82.7%+0.8 pp
Draw11.9%11.5%-0.4 pp
Away6.2%5.8%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.555.8%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

2.850.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-017.3%
3-113.5%
4-013.5%
3-07.7%
2-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

8.712.96
Average total11.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.8%
Over 9.571.2%
Over 10.559.6%
Over 11.542.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.86

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home85.7%
Away42.9%