Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 16:00
11.1781.9%
X8.0411.9%
215.376.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Arsenal
WLWWWWWLWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Everton
LLDLDLLDLD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
0.50
0.70
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
5.30N=10
2.90
Against
7.60
9.30
Total
12.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.50
0.70
Goals conceded
2.00
3.30
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Arsenal attack
2.60goals per matchEverton conceded2.00Matchup
Everton attack
0.50goals per matchArsenal conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
2.90
Corners against
7.60
9.30
Match total
12.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.60
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
20.80
Match total
23.00
Shots
21.00N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
7.10
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home81.9%82.7%+0.8 pp
Draw11.9%11.5%-0.4 pp
Away6.2%5.8%-0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.555.8%
BTTS48.1%
Historical average
2.85–0.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-017.3%
3-113.5%
4-013.5%
3-07.7%
2-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
8.71–2.96
Average total11.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.578.8%
Over 9.571.2%
Over 10.559.6%
Over 11.542.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.86
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home85.7%
Away42.9%