Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-15 · 20:00
12.7335.2%
X4.0423.8%
22.3441.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
LWDWLWDWDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Newcastle
LLLWWLLWLW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.70N=10
7.50
Against
6.20
14.10
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
2.20
3.30
Total goals
3.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Man United attack

1.80goals per match
Newcastle conceded2.20
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.70goals per match
Man United conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
7.50
Corners against
6.20
14.10
Match total
10.90
100%10/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.60
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.20N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
17.00
Match total
21.40

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
6.40
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.2%46.2%+11.0 pp
Draw23.8%30.8%+7.0 pp
Away41.0%23.1%-18.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.584.6%
Over 3.576.9%
BTTS84.6%

Historical average

2.621.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-223.1%
2-315.4%
3-17.7%
4-27.7%
4-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.853.92
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.523.1%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.9%7.9%–35.6% CI
Draw FT42.9%26.5%–60.9% CI
Away FT39.3%23.6%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.93

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals60.7%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.7%
Away67.9%