Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-15 · 19:45
13.3728.5%
X3.9924.0%
22.0247.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
WDWDWDWLLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Chelsea
LWLWDDDLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.80
1.30
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
2.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.40
Against
5.60
10.40
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded
2.30
2.70
Total goals
4.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.40goals per match
Chelsea conceded2.30
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.80goals per match
Brighton conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.60
10.40
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.30
Match total
5.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
21.40
Match total
23.90

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
6.00
On target
4.70
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.5%20.0%-8.5 pp
Draw24.0%40.0%+16.0 pp
Away47.5%40.0%-7.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.271.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.0%
1-213.3%
0-013.3%
0-113.3%
2-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.934.80
Average total8.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.533.3%
Over 9.533.3%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.513.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.7%
Away50.0%