Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-14 · 20:00
16.9413.9%
X5.9116.3%
21.3869.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tottenham
WWWWLWWWLW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Man City
WWWWWDWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
2.70
1.40
Conceded
0.80
100%
Over 2.5
70%
100%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
2.30
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
7.00N=10
5.20
Against
4.60
12.60
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
2.70
1.40
Goals conceded
0.80
3.70
Total goals
3.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
100%10/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Tottenham attack

2.30goals per match
Man City conceded0.80
Matchup

Man City attack

2.70goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.80
2H goals scored
1.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
7.00N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.60
12.60
Match total
11.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.10N=10
4.70
Match total
2.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
5.60N=10
25.50
Match total
15.40

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
17.70N=10
5.50
On target
8.10
15%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.9%23.8%+9.9 pp
Draw16.3%9.5%-6.8 pp
Away69.8%66.7%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.576.2%
Over 3.552.4%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.142.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-219.0%
0-414.3%
3-29.5%
1-09.5%
1-44.8%

Comparable corner averages

2.866.38
Average total9.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.4%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.538.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Away FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.5%
Away56.3%