Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-13 · 20:00
14.1523.0%
X4.5521.0%
21.7155.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
DWLLWLWDWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Liverpool
WWWLWWDWLD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.10
2.00
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.90
2.40
2H goals
2.40
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
7.20N=10
3.90
Against
4.00
11.10
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.10
2.00
Goals conceded
1.20
4.00
Total goals
3.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

2.00goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.20
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.10goals per match
Aston Villa conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.60
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
7.20N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.00
11.10
Match total
11.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.90
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
24.60
Match total
21.10

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
18.70N=10
5.00
On target
5.90
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.0%18.2%-4.9 pp
Draw21.0%0.0%-21.0 pp
Away55.9%81.8%+25.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.545.5%
BTTS27.3%

Historical average

0.642.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-127.3%
0-418.2%
2-318.2%
0-69.1%
1-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.555.18
Average total8.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.59.1%
Over 11.59.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home20.0%
Away73.3%