Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 17:30
13.3928.3%
X3.9424.4%
22.0347.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nott'm Forest
LWLLWLDWDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Chelsea
LLWLWDDDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
2.60
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
6.10
Against
5.50
10.60
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
2.30
3.10
Total goals
3.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.50goals per match
Chelsea conceded2.30
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.50goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.50
10.60
Match total
9.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.20
Match total
5.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
19.90
Match total
24.10

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.30
On target
4.60
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.3%22.6%-5.7 pp
Draw24.4%38.7%+14.3 pp
Away47.3%38.7%-8.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.548.4%
BTTS67.7%

Historical average

1.521.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
0-09.7%
2-29.7%
3-06.5%
0-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.815.29
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.8%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI
Draw FT55.6%33.7%–75.4% CI
Away FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away61.1%