Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 15:00
11.8252.8%
X4.3322.2%
23.8325.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Ham
WDDLWDDDLD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Luton
WDDLDLLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
1.70
Conceded
2.70
40%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
2.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.30
Against
7.30
9.60
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded
2.70
3.00
Total goals
4.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.30goals per match
Luton conceded2.70
Matchup

Luton attack

1.60goals per match
West Ham conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.30
Corners against
7.30
9.60
Match total
11.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.90
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
21.70
Match total
25.20

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.20
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.8%85.7%+33.0 pp
Draw22.2%7.1%-15.0 pp
Away25.1%7.1%-17.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.5100.0%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS78.6%

Historical average

2.791.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-135.7%
3-021.4%
3-17.1%
1-27.1%
7-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.005.21
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%24.5%–61.2% CI
Draw FT37.5%21.2%–57.3% CI
Away FT20.8%9.2%–40.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.2%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away54.2%