Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 15:00
11.3571.0%
X6.0115.9%
27.3313.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tottenham
WWWWWLWWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Burnley
WLLLLDDLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
1.90
100%
Over 2.5
70%
100%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
2.50
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.50
Against
7.80
12.30
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
3.90
Total goals
3.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
100%10/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Tottenham attack

2.50goals per match
Burnley conceded1.90
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.50goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.50
Corners against
7.80
12.30
Match total
11.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.30
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
25.30
Match total
21.50

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.80
On target
4.20
16%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.0%64.0%-7.0 pp
Draw15.9%24.0%+8.1 pp
Away13.1%12.0%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

2.280.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.0%
0-08.0%
3-18.0%
2-08.0%
1-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.243.44
Average total10.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.568.0%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.544.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away25.0%