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Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 15:00

Newcastle

vs

Brighton

11.5960.3%
X4.8119.9%
24.8419.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
WLLDDWWDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Brighton
DDLLWLLDDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
0.90
1.70
Conceded
1.60
90%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.20
2.70
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.00
Against
4.90
10.30
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded
1.60
4.60
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

2.90goals per match
Brighton conceded1.60
Matchup

Brighton attack

0.90goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.90
10.30
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.90
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
21.80
Match total
21.80

Shots

18.80N=10
Shots
16.00N=10
6.70
On target
5.20
15%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.3%47.1%-13.2 pp
Draw19.9%17.6%-2.3 pp
Away19.8%35.3%+15.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.552.9%
BTTS64.7%

Historical average

1.94–1.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-217.6%
1-011.8%
1-211.8%
2-211.8%
3-111.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.76–3.88
Average total10.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.5%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals26.7%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.3%
Away33.3%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamNewcastleForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamBrightonForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareNewcastle vs BrightonCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPremier LeagueLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPremier League team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.