Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 15:00
11.4068.5%
X5.1318.7%
27.4612.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Everton
WLDDDLWWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sheffield United
DLLWLDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
2.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.10
Against
8.90
11.20
Total
11.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
2.40
2.20
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Everton attack
1.30goals per matchSheffield United conceded2.40Matchup
Sheffield United attack
1.20goals per matchEverton conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
6.10
Corners against
8.90
11.20
Match total
11.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.70
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
21.50
Match total
18.70
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.30
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches130
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.5%70.8%+2.3 pp
Draw18.7%23.8%+5.2 pp
Away12.8%5.4%-7.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
2.38–0.77
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-011.5%
3-010.8%
2-110.8%
1-08.5%
1-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.28–3.47
Average total9.75
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=129.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.527.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%39.3%–71.8% CI
Draw FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI
Away FT9.4%3.2%–24.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals21.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.6%
Away25.0%