Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 15:00
11.4068.5%
X5.1318.7%
27.4612.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
WLDDDLWWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sheffield United
DLLWLDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
2.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.10
Against
8.90
11.20
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
2.40
2.20
Total goals
3.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.30goals per match
Sheffield United conceded2.40
Matchup

Sheffield United attack

1.20goals per match
Everton conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
6.10
Corners against
8.90
11.20
Match total
11.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.70
Match total
3.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
21.50
Match total
18.70

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.30
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches130
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.5%70.8%+2.3 pp
Draw18.7%23.8%+5.2 pp
Away12.8%5.4%-7.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.380.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.5%
3-010.8%
2-110.8%
1-08.5%
1-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.283.47
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=129.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%39.3%–71.8% CI
Draw FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI
Away FT9.4%3.2%–24.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals21.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.6%
Away25.0%