Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 15:00
11.9848.5%
X3.9924.1%
23.5027.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
WLDLDWWWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Brentford
LLWLLLLDWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

8.20N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.40
Against
6.60
12.60
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
3.20
Total goals
3.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.80goals per match
Brentford conceded2.00
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.70goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.60
12.60
Match total
11.10
100%10/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.10
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
24.50
Match total
22.40

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
5.40
On target
5.00
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.5%33.3%-15.2 pp
Draw24.1%39.4%+15.3 pp
Away27.4%27.3%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.539.4%
BTTS72.7%

Historical average

1.611.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.2%
2-212.1%
1-29.1%
0-06.1%
3-26.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.214.12
Average total10.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.557.6%
Over 10.548.5%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away60.0%