Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 15:00
11.9848.5%
X3.9924.1%
23.5027.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bournemouth
WLDLDWWWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Brentford
LLWLLLLDWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
8.20N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.40
Against
6.60
12.60
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
3.20
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bournemouth attack
1.80goals per matchBrentford conceded2.00Matchup
Brentford attack
1.70goals per matchBournemouth conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.60
12.60
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.10
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
24.50
Match total
22.40
Shots
16.20N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
5.40
On target
5.00
11%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.5%33.3%-15.2 pp
Draw24.1%39.4%+15.3 pp
Away27.4%27.3%-0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.539.4%
BTTS72.7%
Historical average
1.61–1.55
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.2%
2-212.1%
1-29.1%
0-06.1%
3-26.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.21–4.12
Average total10.33
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.557.6%
Over 10.548.5%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away60.0%