Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 12:30
112.307.8%
X7.0513.6%
21.2278.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fulham
LWDWLWWLLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Man City
LWWWWWDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.30
1.10
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
6.30N=10
6.10
Against
5.10
12.00
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.30
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.40goals per match
Man City conceded0.90
Matchup

Man City attack

2.30goals per match
Fulham conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.10
12.00
Match total
11.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.70
Match total
2.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
6.30N=10
21.10
Match total
16.50

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
16.30N=10
4.80
On target
7.40
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home7.8%14.3%+6.5 pp
Draw13.6%4.8%-8.8 pp
Away78.6%81.0%+2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.538.1%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

0.812.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-223.8%
0-49.5%
0-39.5%
0-19.5%
2-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.148.00
Average total11.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.585.7%
Over 9.576.2%
Over 10.561.9%
Over 11.557.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal94.1%
2+ goals76.5%
3+ goals41.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away82.4%