Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-06 · 20:00
12.3840.2%
X3.7625.5%
22.7934.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
LDWWLWDLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Man United
DLLWWWLDLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.60
1.60
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.40
2.10
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.80
Against
9.00
9.90
Total
12.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded
1.90
3.80
Total goals
3.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

2.20goals per match
Man United conceded1.90
Matchup

Man United attack

1.60goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
9.00
9.90
Match total
12.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.60
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
23.90
Match total
21.80

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.90
On target
4.40
16%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches92
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.2%33.7%-6.5 pp
Draw25.5%31.5%+6.1 pp
Away34.3%34.8%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.535.9%
BTTS59.8%

Historical average

1.431.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.0%
0-010.9%
2-29.8%
1-19.8%
1-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.754.52
Average total10.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=92.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.7%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.534.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Draw FT60.9%40.8%–77.8% CI
Away FT8.7%2.4%–26.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal56.5%
2+ goals30.4%
3+ goals8.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.2%
Away30.4%