Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 16:30
11.4864.7%
X5.2618.2%
25.6117.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Liverpool
DDWWWWDWWL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Tottenham
DWLDDWLDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
1.60
1.00
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.80
2.00
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
9.20N=10
For
6.20N=10
2.60
Against
7.90
11.80
Total
14.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded
2.10
3.20
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Liverpool attack
2.20goals per matchTottenham conceded2.10Matchup
Tottenham attack
1.60goals per matchLiverpool conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.20N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
2.60
Corners against
7.90
11.80
Match total
14.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.10
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
24.00
Match total
23.50
Shots
26.20N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
9.10
On target
4.40
8%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.7%72.7%+8.0 pp
Draw18.2%9.1%-9.1 pp
Away17.1%18.2%+1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.545.5%
BTTS54.5%
Historical average
2.27–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
4-218.2%
3-018.2%
2-39.1%
1-09.1%
2-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.18–3.82
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.527.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.2%36.8%–65.4% CI
Draw FT34.9%22.4%–49.8% CI
Away FT14.0%6.6%–27.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.8%
2+ goals34.9%
3+ goals14.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.5%
Away23.3%