Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 16:30
11.4864.7%
X5.2618.2%
25.6117.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
DDWWWWDWWL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Tottenham
DWLDDWLDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.60
1.00
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
2.00
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

9.20N=10
For
6.20N=10
2.60
Against
7.90
11.80
Total
14.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded
2.10
3.20
Total goals
3.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.20goals per match
Tottenham conceded2.10
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.60goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.20N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
2.60
Corners against
7.90
11.80
Match total
14.10
100%10/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.10
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
24.00
Match total
23.50

Shots

26.20N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
9.10
On target
4.40
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.7%72.7%+8.0 pp
Draw18.2%9.1%-9.1 pp
Away17.1%18.2%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.545.5%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

2.271.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-218.2%
3-018.2%
2-39.1%
1-09.1%
2-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.183.82
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.2%36.8%–65.4% CI
Draw FT34.9%22.4%–49.8% CI
Away FT14.0%6.6%–27.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.8%
2+ goals34.9%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.5%
Away23.3%