Premier League · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 14:00
11.6558.0%
X4.5521.0%
24.5820.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WWWWLWDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
West Ham
WLWDLLWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.60
1.40
Conceded
2.40
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.80
2.00
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.00
Against
5.00
11.40
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.40
Goals conceded
2.40
4.10
Total goals
4.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

2.70goals per match
West Ham conceded2.40
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.60goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.00
11.40
Match total
8.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.50
Match total
4.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
24.20
Match total
19.00

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
7.00
On target
3.80
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.0%45.0%-13.0 pp
Draw21.0%15.0%-6.0 pp
Away20.9%40.0%+19.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS65.0%

Historical average

2.251.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.0%
2-215.0%
1-010.0%
3-010.0%
2-310.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.804.15
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.565.0%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.535.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away57.1%